TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,570 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over61c41,217$25,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,130.3942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c39,514$15,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,869.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Under40c5,335$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.5532765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c3,425$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under39c3,048$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.091,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under39c2,304$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c2,268$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c2,077$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over61c1,799$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.392,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under39c1,616$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.9386452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over51c1,200$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over60c1,083$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…2602backed Over62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over61c975$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.7597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over61c860$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over61c749.28$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.023,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over53c742.08$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7935244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under39c557.04$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.521,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over61c537$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.574250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under39c490.51$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.552,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under39c477.08$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8432042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…710fbacked Under44c473.54$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.54742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79b…1a3ebacked Over61c466.56$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.62317.4%4 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-74.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under39c438.44$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.271,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under40c355$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2136541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Over62c337$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9416341.7%68 W · 95 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over61c315$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.151,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14445248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over63c289.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0414440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under38c288.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.51,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under39c255.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8465253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under42c255.14$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.351,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under39c214.56$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8817052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd74…17cabacked Over38c199.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.995042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over61c190.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Under53c188.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.783066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over60c167.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under37c166.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7512344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbab…b61ebacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Over61c163.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…f414backed Under53c153.23$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.042927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over61c142.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8716250%81 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c129.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.73,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over54c126.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under40c125.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.674427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0734…fb8dbacked Over62c121.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over63c109.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9210844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over68c108.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e21cbacked Over61c108.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498b…656abacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111545.2%52 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe22f…855bbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e13…3e62backed Over61c92.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.991471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under42c84.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.342,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Over56c80.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455324.5%13 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.426344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over63c79.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under40c73.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8141231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Under41c70.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.535923.7%14 W · 45 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under40c66.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.361,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Over59c66.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399563.2%60 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over19c66.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.315429.6%16 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over62c64.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99455.3%52 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7536…3e09backed Under39c63.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under40c56.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0166056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.546247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb8…3913backed Over60c46.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d47…34fcbacked Over61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Over61c40.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7521557.7%124 W · 91 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under40c40.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4832158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900e…9409backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+213%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under44c38.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1642554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over61c35.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over62c34.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x050d…e4f4backed Over61c33.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.733141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under54c33.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3621858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe312…c00ebacked Over62c33.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184b…21f3backed Over61c33.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d8…db9fbacked Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205050%25 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d5…87f4backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015138.4%58 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…7df5backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209834.7%34 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde0…d27cbacked Under38c32.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Under40c31.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under39c30.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7963255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under40c27.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6432855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed Under40c27.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.324158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cbf…6420backed Over52c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.416456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under42c25.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6112954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520354.7%111 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over60c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.842640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda80…d5fabacked Over62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48834.1%30 W · 58 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.