TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$786,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$780,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $786,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c38,624$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over18c29,944$5,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,379.642,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over4c20,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over5c17,935$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.23626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over16c15,030$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.3322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over5c14,747$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.562,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over6c14,428$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over3c12,627$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c11,965$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.2151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over20c10,788$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.3264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over5c10,738$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.91,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb4…3deabacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102520%5 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over5c9,971$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.851,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over13c9,147$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.5139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over20c8,449$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9b…f703backed Over0c8,200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over8c7,914$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.513,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over6c7,222$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.6319218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over16c7,089$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.9127345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over4c6,426$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.441,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over16c6,368$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c6,282$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over4c5,050$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.272828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Over2c4,496$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Over8c4,377$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3477211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over11c4,294$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.4820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over5c4,150$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over5c3,875$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c3,413$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.631,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over5c3,269$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.432,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over4c3,178$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.022,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over8c3,125$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9427931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c3,050$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0125125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over19c3,011$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.031,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Over5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Over5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over6c2,645$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Over22c2,286$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.158944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over7c2,144$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over6c2,115$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4538437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c2,020$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.971,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over21c1,993$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.2959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over5c1,935$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7712117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over19c1,640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5411637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over5c1,579$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.951,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Over4c1,461$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.436929%20 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c1,440$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over5c1,410$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.775232.7%17 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over4c1,367$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.551,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over4c1,365$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over3c1,307$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over5c1,267$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.352,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Over19c1,263$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6922029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under80c1,228$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.834,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over5c1,058$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over2c1,013$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.325320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-82.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Over5c999.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over13c999.02$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.892,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Over3c992.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.587412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over9c983.66$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4730039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Over18c980.41$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4916046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Over6c817.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fe…d772backed Over11c800$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.674740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over10c800$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9771939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over16c788.38$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.461,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over3c711.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7169826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Over21c684.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.810131.7%32 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over21c681.64$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over15c675.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over4c624.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over20c602$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4977051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0409…a2febacked Over8c561.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.592814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over16c558.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8828545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9876…1950backed Over5c540$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2770%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over5c536.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8117533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over19c521.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005437%20 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Over15c505$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.259045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over10c493$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over17c451.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over3c430$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.739830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Over5c420$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313826.8%37 W · 101 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over12c419$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.937142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209012.2%11 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over6c400$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.827028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…0a02backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206816.2%11 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208118.5%15 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Under80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over4c345$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.832837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.