TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$532,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$606,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2805…76edbacked Over68c157,991$107,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,102.7720448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c151,045$51,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,082.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over59c41,124$24,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,060.9314248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Over68c34,838$23,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,148.029845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c22,832$7,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,345.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under32c15,374$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,919.5270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Over68c14,860$10,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.149247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Under37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004425%11 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over67c11,430$7,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under32c11,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.9817642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under30c9,476$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.816357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under39c7,785$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.7344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab72…eae9backed Under1c7,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under31c6,972$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.4577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under44c6,437$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.0536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85c…5005backed Under32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Over70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9910653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under31c5,714$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.471,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c5,396$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.492,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c4,492$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Under31c4,139$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.092128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over69c3,454$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.8238948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under32c3,383$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.52751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c3,287$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.152,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under43c2,562$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014450.7%73 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3535244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under32c2,382$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.411,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under36c2,034$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.3661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under32c2,031$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Under31c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.929643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under32c1,951$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.921,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under39c1,948$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.5537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under32c1,919$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.057153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Under32c1,891$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c1,857$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over68c1,849$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.593,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under32c1,680$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over61c1,667$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65025339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6713043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under8c1,653$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1361…8de1backed Over71c1,642$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under32c1,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.995930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46518929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe617…f251backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+93.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x209b…ecc6backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.283342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over63c1,426$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3671939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under4c1,307$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over56c1,234$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.9522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over69c1,231$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over69c1,225$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under32c1,201$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over61c1,196$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.122,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under3c1,166$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.351,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Under32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508356.6%47 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under32c1,050$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3368032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over69c1,035$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.852,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9623…faa0backed Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c929.23$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over69c857.13$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under41c804.46$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under32c780$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c750.6$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.023,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under40c725$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29025049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6414568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f5…5ac4backed Under30c682.62$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.611225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over60c650$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Under31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Over71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3813157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Over67c562.49$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c552$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under32c505.31$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.77852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15514049.3%69 W · 71 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb6…8c80backed Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…5323backed Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under32c485.29$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2930642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Under32c461.48$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.674030%12 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Under32c456.53$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.095349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over63c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14612663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under31c387.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.211,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over64c379.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Over68c338.24$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.249552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under41c330$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0221050%105 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.583852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over70c321$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.31,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…e11ebacked Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c316.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.451,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under45c315.51$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6223637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.