Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61685c2ccf54a2ec5ec0085a417a14db46e0e42401d07bad8a8a688cf8dc1b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 6,552$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 79c | 2,616$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 24c | 1,907$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.61 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Over | 23c | 1,075$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Over | 24c | 942.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.23 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 22c | 830$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 676$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 544.95$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 77c | 536.32$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 23c | 525.34$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Under | 77c | 468.09$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 22c | 460.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 23c | 440.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 343.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 76c | 308.4$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Over | 21c | 293.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 15c | 275$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 21c | 263.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 5c | 239.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…b819backed Over | 24c | 208.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2c00backed Over | 24c | 207.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 79c | 185.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 25c | 142$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…71e4backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over | 24c | 73.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…9d52backed Over | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 21c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Over | 24c | 63.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…4e2dbacked Over | 22c | 62.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…64d3backed Over | 24c | 60.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 75c | 46.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 76c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.