TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$915,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$937,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $915,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c280,773$112,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,710.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under38c177,087$67,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,918.3577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c98,438$59,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,964.492,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over62c90,000$55,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,199.8542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Over62c50,000$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,999.914531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over61c49,930$30,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,393.022,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over63c41,270$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,269.8412254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over62c31,979$19,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,012.2123942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Over63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4004436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Over54c18,624$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,623.829446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c15,580$6,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,892.712,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c15,216$8,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,461.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under37c14,082$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.1721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under38c13,874$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.151,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over62c12,590$7,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,752.962,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over33c12,117$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,134.7217747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under37c11,882$4,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.261,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.968458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under38c9,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9810653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c8,210$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.9412825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…713abacked Over63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.511650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under39c7,372$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.381,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over62c5,891$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.571,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Over63c5,873$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.0212514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under51c4,965$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.142,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under40c4,675$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c4,331$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under52c4,129$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.139752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over58c4,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,69012451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over43c3,790$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.852,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under39c3,639$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.761,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over63c3,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…bb7cbacked Over63c3,380$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.585137.3%19 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4b…fe64backed Over61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.692025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd712…4029backed Over61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.691513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Over62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.630465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fe…46d0backed Over63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.63030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over63c3,152$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.1310051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over63c3,141$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.0822749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under39c3,030$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.8917052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c2,958$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over22c2,811$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over61c2,601$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.9940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd476…f5d4backed Over39c2,585$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.322944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b076backed Over19c2,555$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.813132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c2,500$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.873,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over7c2,500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3258321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9255646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…dd2ebacked Over61c2,427$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.453756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfac…bc1cbacked Over63c2,312$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.356222.6%14 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under46c2,173$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over54c2,087$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.893658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over46c2,085$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.1515034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9911755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe4…bd52backed Over59c1,927$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.24887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+71.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under38c1,908$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.8961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over63c1,825$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.45251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under37c1,797$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.1297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Over62c1,774$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.194820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over63c1,746$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.0323736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over56c1,738$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.1810532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over62c1,731$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.5970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under37c1,666$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9751315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over63c1,644$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c1,626$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.724,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccca…4c02backed Over61c1,621$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.532948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9886…ededbacked Over63c1,621$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.7413048.5%63 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.34425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.35358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over46c1,532$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.2858049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over21c1,512$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over60c1,509$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.112740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Over3c1,500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+200%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Over3c1,500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f51…2647backed Over63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5557031.4%22 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Over57c1,451$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over59c1,443$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.837549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under38c1,398$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under53c1,332$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over28c1,245$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.561,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under37c1,243$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.041,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over38c1,226$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.561,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under39c1,212$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.3888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4566750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Over17c1,200$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.793237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under43c1,162$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6611155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over63c1,141$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.171,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under37c1,135$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4208243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over63c1,112$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.423171%22 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c1,107$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over49c1,069$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.145248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.