TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,354 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over19c4,159$790 inWon+$3,368.7132042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over21c3,580$737 inWon+$2,843.477639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Over23c1,500$340 inWon+$1,160.6312235.2%43 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over20c1,000$200 inWon+$80054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Over20c1,000$200 inWon+$80015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Over19c503.73$97 inWon+$406.788622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Over20c500$100 inWon+$4001225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under77c499.99$385 inLost-$384.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under78c487.26$380 inLost-$380.0617052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over20c467.99$94 inWon+$374.392,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under77c314.77$242 inLost-$242.3746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over19c299.98$57 inWon+$242.9829813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c298.16$74 inWon+$224.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under79c273.37$217 inLost-$217.153,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d64…ba4abacked Over18c265.9$49 inWon+$216.822646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over20c255.85$51 inWon+$204.6810844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over19c253.84$48 inWon+$205.616141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over19c253.42$49 inWon+$204.178846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over22c227.27$50 inWon+$177.2719241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under78c144.67$113 inLost-$112.8436448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over19c109.99$21 inWon+$89.091,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over19c102.63$20 inWon+$82.6317240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over19c100$19 inWon+$8143248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over20c100$20 inWon+$8029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over20c90$18 inWon+$7234526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under78c76$59 inLost-$59.2832855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…7d8dbacked Over16c69.99$11 inWon+$58.792740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over22c68.18$15 inWon+$53.181,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under78c64.1$50 inLost-$5025857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over20c50$10 inWon+$4031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over20c50$10 inWon+$4039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Over20c50$10 inWon+$4019144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4503…98d7backed Over20c50$10 inWon+$401752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over71c45.86$33 inWon+$13.3627466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under30c42.86$13 inLost-$12.8612954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under80c35$28 inLost-$27.942554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under79c30.73$24 inLost-$24.192,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Under79c25.32$20 inLost-$205265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under78c22.73$18 inLost-$17.7366056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Under78c19$15 inLost-$14.821764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick76cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.