Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5e7397559335b3a65659383fe7cf6f775488317b52935673687e4cce8501c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 9c | 11,328$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.47 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 17c | 8,370$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.88 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 4,046$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.32 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 19c | 3,746$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.41 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 3,042$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.41 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Over | 80c | 990$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 24c | 871.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 859.99$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 23c | 832$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 20c | 829.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 25c | 808.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 665.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 19c | 657$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 657$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 73c | 595.97$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…42c6backed Over | 79c | 501$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 20c | 390.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 353.19$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 30c | 327$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 16c | 290.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 78c | 242$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 78c | 226$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 26c | 197$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 23c | 187.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 79c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 77c | 128.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d9…c3cbbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…5c4abacked Under | 16c | 124.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 23c | 121.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 78c | 105.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 18c | 95.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 23c | 83.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Under | 22c | 60.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 23c | 58.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…8c7dbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 80c | 35.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…fdd7backed Over | 78c | 27.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Over | 80c | 25.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…7a6bbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…8c58backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.