Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d770f795e19de4c48beba8711598dd89ed27f248ab8f085ac83ea57eb4c61c

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $303,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $313,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,997 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xec37…3645backed Over	2c	18,199$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.44	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over	18c	16,993$2,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,987.64	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	11c	15,501$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.76	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	3c	9,806$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.15	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	6c	8,889$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.21	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	4c	8,352$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.61	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	8c	8,116$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.29	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	5c	6,103$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.66	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	8c	4,722$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.18	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	2c	4,218$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.18	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	9c	3,286$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.23	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Over	6c	3,270$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Over	1c	3,120$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	1c	2,604$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.76	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	6c	2,403$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.69	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Over	3c	1,695$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.8	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	2c	1,675$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6420…3966backed Over	2c	1,381$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over	2c	1,350$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…2ee2backed Over	3c	1,339$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.55	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over	2c	1,316$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	110	20%22 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	3c	1,231$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over	2c	1,176$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…a4b8backed Over	10c	1,145$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.3	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	3c	1,034$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.05	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked Over	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Over	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	137	5.1%7 W · 130 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Over	4c	999.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	2c	993.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over	3c	935.83$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	5c	913.74$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.25	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb09e…62f3backed Over	17c	875.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over	6c	850$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.55	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+7.1wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x43c6…dfc7backed Over	3c	761.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	2c	736.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over	2c	710$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.79	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45b…ec87backed Over	4c	700.45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	3c	700$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over	15c	699.82$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.39	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over	18c	676.79$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.88	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	17c	542.16$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…6150backed Over	5c	532.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over	15c	500$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.51	219	55.3%121 W · 98 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over	16c	500$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	170	30%51 W · 119 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Over	19c	498.33$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.19	75	42.7%32 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over	19c	487$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.53	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over	2c	450$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	9c	441.56$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.71	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	4c	399.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9778…c208backed Over	3c	370.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…7075backed Over	14c	360$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over	12c	346.15$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.81	98	52%51 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over	17c	335.33$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf554…4af2backed Over	3c	332.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	5c	323.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	16c	299.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Over	18c	271.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	32.7%33 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over	19c	264.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	11c	225.51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Over	19c	211.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	151	30.5%46 W · 105 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9d…0604backed Over	5c	209.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	27cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Over	18c	209.12$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.78	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over	18c	195.53$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over	8c	179.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	8c	169.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	11c	167.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over	21c	163.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over	9c	149.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Over	15c	126.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf26e…5067backed Over	19c	107.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	34cpaid	+47%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99b5…0b19backed Over	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Over	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over	17c	93.53$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	96	35.4%34 W · 62 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f5…a22abacked Over	18c	84.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5this page
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event