Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739ba3a7d6fcc17ac83d559c3e0055b4593805bc392b0e0762d09baa1b7453a2

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $137,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $143,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,836 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	13c	13,973$1,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.1	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	45c	8,212$3,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,688.22	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	8c	8,059$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.51	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	55c	3,411$1,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,542.92	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	4c	2,866$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.77	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	18c	2,776$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.61	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	11c	2,546$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.46	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Over	10c	2,525$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.08	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	42c	2,425$1,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.84	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over	11c	2,149$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.43	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	11c	1,919$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.11	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	12c	1,614$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa518…cce4backed Over	11c	1,484$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.21	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	16c	1,233$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.24	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	8c	1,008$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.95	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	10c	1,006$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	64c	1,000$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.32	211	66.4%140 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	10c	728.45$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.25	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	36c	717.55$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.3	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0840…f4d9backed Over	11c	408.73$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over	40c	400$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.81	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	57c	365.16$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.02	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d3…31a3backed Over	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	73c	313.68$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.42	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	21c	299.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	11c	299.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	11c	289.27$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.82	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under	55c	272.72$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.72	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over	50c	261.96$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.98	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	64c	243.62$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over	11c	236.36$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe191…2720backed Over	11c	235.18$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over	51c	234.51$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.6	132	47%62 W · 70 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	42c	225.31$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.47	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	54c	224$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.04	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	20c	218$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.51	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e8…9a47backed Over	49c	205.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	26c	204.77$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.49	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	14c	187.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.78	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	11c	154.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	46c	152$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb59f…4a98backed Over	14c	138.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	63c	125.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.16	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	11c	110$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over	47c	105.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	219	58.9%129 W · 90 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	129	27.1%35 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under	52c	96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.08	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78cd…c82cbacked Over	12c	94.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x337a…b913backed Over	17c	74.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under	55c	73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.85	324	33.6%109 W · 215 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under	55c	59.77$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.82	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Under	78c	57.25$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.56	108	55.6%60 W · 48 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over	25c	55.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Over	20c	51.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under	55c	22.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.14	208	60.6%126 W · 82 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event