TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under2c2,184$38 inLost-$38.4912954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Under2c1,580$31 inLost-$31.43140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over70c930.79$652 inWon+$279.2420186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under70c497.14$348 inLost-$3487448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under70c270.84$189 inLost-$188.7958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over30c267.49$80 inWon+$187.241,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Under68c231.65$158 inLost-$157.843145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c196.89$59 inWon+$137.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4c…d17dbacked Over70c184.97$129 inWon+$55.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over36c140.17$50 inWon+$90.1711035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over30c108.19$33 inWon+$75.253161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over70c107.93$76 inWon+$31.921251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Over28c107.14$30 inWon+$77.1420729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under73c99.99$73 inLost-$72.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over31c96.77$30 inWon+$66.7714042.1%59 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over77c77.4$60 inWon+$17.4227466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Over30c66.67$20 inWon+$46.6725018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under68c62.5$43 inLost-$42.52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon+$42.530148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under69c61.85$42 inLost-$42.382,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over30c50$15 inWon+$351,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under51c45$23 inLost-$23.0541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ea…3454backed Over32c31.56$10 inWon+$21.56977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc234…eac5backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon+$8.571573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under51c27.13$14 inLost-$13.812,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.