TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,424 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c6,884$1,911 inWon+$4,972.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under73c3,333$2,433 inLost-$2,433.0934249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under61c1,256$768 inLost-$768.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under73c1,215$888 inLost-$888.34,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c927.71$597 inLost-$597.342,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under74c264.55$195 inLost-$194.5882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c210.93$50 inWon+$161.431,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fed…35c6backed Under79c189.87$150 inLost-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over22c187.22$41 inWon+$145.731,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Over20c146.99$29 inWon+$117.6710726.2%28 W · 79 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over19c131.58$25 inWon+$106.581,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over33c104.02$34 inWon+$70.062,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under80c94.45$76 inLost-$75.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under66c87.99$58 inLost-$58.082,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under30c86.99$26 inLost-$26.31,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ef…9a31backed Over20c85.85$17 inWon+$68.684238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over22c82.27$18 inWon+$64.275020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under72c78$56 inLost-$56.1687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over20c76.45$15 inWon+$61.1629813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under70c75.07$53 inLost-$52.872247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under78c72.27$56 inLost-$56.372,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under42c56.59$24 inLost-$23.7712954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfda…1bc1backed Over26c45.52$12 inWon+$33.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under80c37.66$30 inLost-$30.132,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under68c35.33$24 inLost-$24.1841444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…88d2backed Under80c30$24 inLost-$243873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.2wins0.00per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c29.84$15 inWon+$14.962,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over47c27$13 inWon+$14.311,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268b…a36ebacked Over65c20$13 inWon+$73253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x067b…a280backed Under78c14.1$11 inLost-$111450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.