TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No80c12,418$9,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.1634249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes20c7,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes33c7,080$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.668435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No55c5,447$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.082,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed No71c4,230$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.694663%29 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No68c3,688$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.4282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes35c3,100$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes38c2,780$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.7111316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No64c2,538$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.0731152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked No74c2,345$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6310752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No64c2,280$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.4121937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.989266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes20c1,805$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3664643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c1,560$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes19c1,393$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.729643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No79c1,385$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.918843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No53c1,214$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.832,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec9…f819backed Yes74c1,109$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.543339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Yes1c1,037$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No64c970.91$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.461,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes20c900.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.792035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes72c896.77$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.1627951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No63c867.07$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2424540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No78c828.7$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.611,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2299…8f6abacked Yes68c813.85$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…c03bbacked Yes69c799.81$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.872259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed No80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12515335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3de7backed No80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2b…f194backed Yes27c576.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.131844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No70c571.5$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.061,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…a063backed No78c566.78$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.474450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506414.1%9 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes18c528.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.182,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes20c512.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4635621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…b651backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059a…1fe9backed Yes21c453.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed No62c431.68$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2317229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…38cebacked Yes71c424.68$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked No80c382$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.414745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes17c381.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.534327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No35c380.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2475536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes36c347.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No76c334.71$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1551458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcace…f2f6backed Yes39c332.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9cd…0998backed Yes26c328.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.592544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No79c326.25$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.163,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes69c305.25$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc362…3d85backed Yes77c304.17$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.925135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes13c294.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.682,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes21c293$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5327744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x400b…8458backed Yes14c282.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes37c270.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e4e…8413backed Yes38c259.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed No39c256.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6612544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505145.1%23 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8925…7bc4backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58fe…d772backed No65c249.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.494740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbabf…0816backed Yes20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No64c213.22$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.322,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes21c210$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.134751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Yes36c209.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.332240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No76c209.22$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2226455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5023…c061backed Yes35c194.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.953948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes31c177.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.758642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No52c169.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5719862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c169.24$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88e…cb19backed No29c167.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3111658.6%68 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f22…1d6bbacked Yes63c159.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe673…7e1cbacked Yes65c154.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccf…9c1abacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff0…0720backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5544…fe9ebacked Yes28c149.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes24c149.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.481,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db6…c21ebacked Yes65c149.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344c…a1aebacked Yes34c145.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a9…4979backed Yes71c141.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8db…57e2backed Yes32c141.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+129.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036530.7%112 W · 253 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a0…2dcbbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No79c134.58$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.263,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes75c133.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Yes36c133.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e2…c938backed Yes37c132.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e2…4bf2backed Yes76c130.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid+76.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No67c130.17$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0917569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7731…4b48backed Yes39c129.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da1…f236backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b1…dcb7backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0f…ff68backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed No73c118.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9420186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Yes22c117.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.352611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcb…0f07backed Yes23c107.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.