TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$777,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$797,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c56,967$37,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,289.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under66c38,666$25,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,966.1336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Under71c35,050$24,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,164.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c32,648$10,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,032.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over39c25,725$9,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,931.92,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Under59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.993762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c18,535$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under69c17,245$11,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,313.371,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c16,727$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,528.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over25c15,321$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,773.0228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over2c15,003$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.391,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Over0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over10c14,020$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.0744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under73c10,179$7,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.1717642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c9,782$6,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.361,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under57c9,352$5,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,020.137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over29c9,349$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.2510142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over55c9,062$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c8,849$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over28c8,441$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.592,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under78c8,390$6,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.8223540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over46c8,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.973625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under71c7,416$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.331,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under70c7,000$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.6524058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c6,980$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over6c6,689$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.122,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Over29c6,500$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8852748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over31c6,456$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.242828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over29c6,213$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c5,921$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.0551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under44c5,270$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.216050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under73c5,260$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.4644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over31c5,037$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.396930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under61c4,913$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.7829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x768f…83afbacked Over30c4,600$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over53c4,246$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.8766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over59c4,234$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under71c4,007$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under14c3,871$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.4124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Over26c3,847$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under68c3,800$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21631152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under58c3,490$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.714450.7%73 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under61c3,427$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.5419649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over29c3,376$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.1411552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under47c3,313$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.7716755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over32c3,149$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.192,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under72c3,128$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.1926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over25c3,049$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.421722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under70c2,899$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.4125049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under70c2,671$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.622751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over39c2,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.983735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c2,340$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.832,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under14c2,213$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.1120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under64c2,088$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over27c2,032$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over31c2,015$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.5425339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over42c2,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under69c1,950$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under45c1,890$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.7523637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Over31c1,848$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5732334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c1,844$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over29c1,831$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under70c1,715$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over44c1,697$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.935036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c1,693$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under70c1,690$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.2126647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Over31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over35c1,536$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under51c1,528$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.567451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under11c1,526$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.410732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c1,363$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0216150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under13c1,265$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.1717827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Over53c1,261$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.553630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over44c1,244$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.3510537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under21c1,221$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over31c1,190$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36932922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c1,157$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.874,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Over15c1,105$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1697211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over47c1,100$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.420149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Over29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004829.2%14 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over3c1,026$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.471,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under71c1,024$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.961,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008036.3%29 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over29c987.59$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.413736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under44c965.32$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.079650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c945.85$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.052,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under66c919.46$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7230642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over29c872.07$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.96159%36 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over3c868.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0625942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under68c856.37$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.661,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over59c822.03$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.241,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under20c802.13$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.881,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under13c764.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.9512241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under69c753.98$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under45c735.57$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5923645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Over19c726.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5516046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.