TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,269,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,296,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,269,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed Under2c99,183$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.8419252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over44c26,352$11,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,847.924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over34c22,217$7,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,752.1714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015f…2f76backed Under23c21,065$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under2c20,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005024%12 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+124.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over11c19,500$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,345.0365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over9c16,800$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,28810128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over14c16,131$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,934.6217747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over51c15,807$8,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,739.8359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over45c15,709$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,709.1131644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under62c14,429$8,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,922.8764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over46c13,173$6,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,097.9639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over43c12,866$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,283.8111942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over12c12,369$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,884.721,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over63c11,744$7,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,329.7875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over12c10,887$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,630.81,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under59c9,646$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,720.344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c9,414$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,932.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under71c9,288$6,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,573.9137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over10c7,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under56c7,000$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,926.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over16c6,864$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,780.641,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over12c6,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,866.673125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over4c5,981$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.93626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Over33c5,837$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.293751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over35c5,750$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.618648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under4c5,627$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0614544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over12c5,555$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.3719037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under63c5,533$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.631,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under35c5,221$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.715929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed Over41c5,160$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.676238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e64…8bf8backed Under67c5,110$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c4,736$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over14c4,730$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.321,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c4,252$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.422,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Over10c4,158$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+98.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over37c3,537$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.5536539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under73c3,503$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.4346230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked Under16c3,500$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.51618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Under16c3,500$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.52250%11 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+389%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under3c3,481$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249e…dca1backed Over8c3,355$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.882138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over12c3,333$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.3332922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Over12c3,265$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.055322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under67c3,219$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.6816152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under71c3,154$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over12c3,150$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,77260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f7…440fbacked Under13c3,145$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.46875%6 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.61per pick14cpaid+488.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under59c3,103$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84513223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Under4c3,000$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.323747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under60c3,000$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.8321166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Over12c2,994$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.3219125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over11c2,935$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.591,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over10c2,895$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.0637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c2,763$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.371,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over33c2,572$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.7935034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over4c2,432$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.7232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c2,345$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under12c2,323$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.355318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over44c2,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.376930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under16c2,253$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under16c2,253$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Under16c2,253$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under16c2,253$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over19c2,023$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.611,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under2c2,013$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9718543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7605911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Over8c2,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Over12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7607412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd342…4540backed Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x64eb…6bcabacked Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001457.1%8 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.40per pick18cpaid+207.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under5c1,959$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Under75c1,855$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.682737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over42c1,769$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.0613454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over71c1,720$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.677826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Under3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under2c1,639$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Over43c1,627$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.831275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under72c1,586$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.782,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Over12c1,575$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38629018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e45…ea2bbacked Over27c1,540$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.362055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over13c1,538$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.4656240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over42c1,522$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.7583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over37c1,521$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.9921722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over36c1,519$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.4524341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Under3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+200%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Under3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…c131backed Over11c1,500$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.121315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+336.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under64c1,490$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.3818929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over29c1,469$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.9127032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over12c1,450$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.9936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over29c1,419$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.6319218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over11c1,401$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.1728224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over29c1,383$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98321641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over61c1,364$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.0718628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.