Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb75d1e6a896d3524c6483c0c772fa3b3c90e4662b7b8be910c336c72c0f729e

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $672,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $818,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,241 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x160b…4296backed Under	7c	57,257$4,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,008	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Under	7c	50,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	7c	45,697$3,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,198.81	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under	0c	39,999$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.4	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	8c	27,780$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,321.23	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	7c	24,611$1,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.83	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	8c	22,875$1,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,761.5	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	8c	17,517$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.89	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	9c	17,132$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.01	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Under	7c	16,000$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.99	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6a…c8c1backed Under	7c	14,141$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.9	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.34per pick	36cpaid	+146%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under	8c	12,428$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.2	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	7c	11,337$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.61	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	7c	11,111$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.76	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	8c	7,586$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.51	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	6c	6,546$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.76	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	7c	4,865$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.73	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	1c	4,622$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,444$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	7c	4,284$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.88	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under	8c	3,225$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	8c	3,190$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.2	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	64	1.6%1 W · 63 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	192	24.5%47 W · 145 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	8c	2,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	7c	1,601$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.07	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	7c	1,431$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.15	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	9c	1,289$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	259	42.1%109 W · 150 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under	2c	1,288$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	100	14%14 W · 86 L	+11.0wins	+0.11per pick	3cpaid	+445.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Under	2c	1,272$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	41.5%93 W · 131 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under	10c	1,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	8c	1,197$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.74	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	7c	1,170$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.9	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	10c	1,006$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.62	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	137	5.1%7 W · 130 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	7c	882.75$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.79	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	7c	877.91$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.45	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under	2c	800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	7c	763.11$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.42	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Under	7c	713.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	7c	672.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.11	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	8c	608.7$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under	8c	560.8$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.86	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under	9c	525.01$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.97	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	7c	519.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Under	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	294	50%147 W · 147 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	9c	355$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1292…e678backed Under	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	47	66%31 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under	7c	299.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	7c	282.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Under	10c	270$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	107	29%31 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a3…6599backed Under	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc50b…1fd9backed Under	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Under	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	18.5%15 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	7c	220$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under	7c	215.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	211	40.3%85 W · 126 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	7c	201.18$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	7c	150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cd…2589backed Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	208	16.3%34 W · 174 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	267	20.6%55 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5this page
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Over won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Egypt won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event