TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$714,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$809,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c36,138$27,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,316.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over23c30,201$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,200.8313725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over26c27,212$6,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,216.492,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under4c26,405$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.42,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under3c26,308$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.1324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over24c25,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,999.9717852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over10c23,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,629.9412810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under65c19,755$12,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,827.1314542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over10c15,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,50023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over11c13,616$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,179.622,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over34c11,859$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,870.7917747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c11,688$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,416.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over78c11,332$8,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.7259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over21c9,584$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,584.2131644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over30c8,624$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,035.041,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under76c7,380$5,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,620.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under14c7,371$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.5614856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c7,303$5,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,478.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under73c6,929$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,053.042,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c6,787$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,625.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over68c5,947$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.932,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under77c5,829$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.991,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c4,010$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.11375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under3c3,882$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under8c3,452$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over26c3,422$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.2832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over25c3,355$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over10c3,165$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.6832042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c3,033$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.841,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Over19c3,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4306737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Over10c3,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9725418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under74c2,666$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.2521937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c2,460$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.671,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed Under70c2,400$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.993366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Over31c2,272$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.24663%29 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over10c2,090$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.7372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c7…75eebacked Over31c1,874$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over11c1,818$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.1811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c16…4d41backed Over29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.141225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under72c1,700$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.989752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over11c1,668$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.2585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Under2c1,580$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.43140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Under11c1,518$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.643815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked Under16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed Under16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over29c1,500$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.9915054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Over29c1,400$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005731.6%18 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under6c1,360$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.011,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under4c1,326$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4345145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed Under16c1,308$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.252437.5%9 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick17cpaid+115.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c1,279$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.798321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over20c1,250$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under16c1,125$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under16c1,125$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under3c1,066$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9850850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Under15c1,008$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9717659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70013349.6%66 W · 67 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Over29c999.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.998341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked Over27c999.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.992218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over29c999.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9917030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ef…f1dcbacked Over29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.076633.3%22 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under70c841.83$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.981,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over12c833$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.042,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over10c833$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.71,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over10c810.9$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.813517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…a4b8backed Over21c805.31$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.914422.7%10 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over10c800$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72024045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb09e…62f3backed Over26c786.2$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over25c760$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5706836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under80c720.41$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c712$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.042,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c709.11$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.851,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd87…0ed7backed Under17c698$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.661866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over10c687$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.3224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over30c643.17$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.229351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over11c599.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.9829813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606e…ce83backed Over12c565.34$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.53212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Over29c515.07$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.71942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Over10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f5…5ac4backed Over11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4451225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under79c493$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9377051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Under20c485.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.842611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe702…1519backed Over21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over11c454.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.555521.8%12 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over11c454.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5511020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Under9c450.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.026855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over70c435.89$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.382,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…b472backed Over23c430.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.056439.1%25 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under75c428.96$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under7c422$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9522452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Under16c386.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.783917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under67c360.68$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3912954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78a4…3727backed Over11c345.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.