TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$330,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$360,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c91,481$63,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,770.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over33c22,315$7,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,877.262,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over34c20,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,20023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over34c17,532$5,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,541.198858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over33c15,596$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,506.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c15,349$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,166.422,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c8,527$6,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under67c8,400$5,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,596.9310653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over32c7,777$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,288.3332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over31c6,451$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.872,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over35c6,042$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,947.192,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c5,165$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,676.192,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under66c4,959$3,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.2520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over33c3,964$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.481,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c3,697$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.262,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over19c3,409$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.093545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under67c3,130$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under66c3,033$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.731,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7d…d997backed Under68c2,962$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009737.1%36 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Over32c2,782$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.845339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under13c2,761$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c2,444$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c2,386$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c2,254$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.411,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c2,079$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.583,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c2,071$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.82,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c2,018$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Over33c2,000$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.931442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over43c1,974$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.0641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over34c1,765$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.7123736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over24c1,726$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over26c1,601$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.7665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.527433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec37…3645backed Over33c1,531$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.452119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99095037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666e…e195backed Under16c1,500$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Under16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402250%11 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+389%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x7148…e85abacked Under16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Over34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.598530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over35c1,383$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.2777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under66c1,365$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.5432042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under77c1,322$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.7826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ff…c05fbacked Under12c1,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4590%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under16c1,125$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Under16c1,125$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c1,120$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Under16c1,102$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.254027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe481…f280backed Under16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+185.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under65c999.49$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7230345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under72c981.02$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.357558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe168…e559backed Under74c946.12$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5858550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Over34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.3533641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under65c848.97$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.7297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under2c823.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.091,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c811.11$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.551,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under66c800$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over27c796.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.711,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c788.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.862,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Over26c771.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.1831941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over26c757.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9610532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.299428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over23c684.84$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.562,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Under16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.564235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over27c551.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.528037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under14c502.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.256235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4192…b396backed Over34c499.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under67c499.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under65c499.28$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5128945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c495.84$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under2c485.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc92…8d1dbacked Under66c459.59$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.337754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over13c398.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9869826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under67c319.45$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.581,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over32c312$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1614440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Over32c310$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.833221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over34c305.03$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.329852%51 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over32c294.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.196061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…169bbacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1214235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x778f…e69cbacked Over21c289.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.721233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd969…7a52backed Over34c288.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7128646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd342…4540backed Under11c284.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.351450%7 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x74e6…384bbacked Over35c282.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under67c271.94$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.071,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under67c260$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.21,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x929d…7ee3backed Over18c212.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.775038%19 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da0…5fe0backed Over28c202.14$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.499336.6%34 W · 59 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13216656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Over32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13614238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over34c199.65$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7778835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c193.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.513,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over34c188.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2410546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under12c187.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.463511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.