TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Team Vitality, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$409,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$469,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Nongshim RedForce41c49,976$20,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,452.5634356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Vitality59c34,720$20,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,483.2424145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Vitality56c21,614$12,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,126.5640945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Nongshim RedForce33c20,849$6,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0191330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6843…79b2backed Nongshim RedForce45c19,726$8,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,874.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Vitality59c13,522$7,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,961.1452155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Team Vitality0c12,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Vitality55c7,595$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.131553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Team Vitality19c6,000$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Nongshim RedForce39c5,462$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.921560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eaa…2094backed Team Vitality48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Nongshim RedForce44c4,191$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.2215038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Team Vitality58c4,122$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3885451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Nongshim RedForce37c3,725$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.864740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nongshim RedForce57c3,718$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.5716347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality55c3,271$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.9993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Nongshim RedForce61c3,255$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.8626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Nongshim RedForce35c3,236$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.6122344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality48c3,123$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.011,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Vitality44c3,096$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.7935142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Nongshim RedForce35c3,012$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.623644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Nongshim RedForce42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7403855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Team Vitality75c2,345$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed Team Vitality56c2,322$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.756755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Team Vitality56c2,295$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.436647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Vitality40c1,890$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75610842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Nongshim RedForce43c1,888$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.1433348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Vitality56c1,842$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.783256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Vitality44c1,821$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Vitality58c1,787$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.7956551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8f…25f5backed Team Vitality72c1,768$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2801330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Nongshim RedForce30c1,727$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.5642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nongshim RedForce60c1,689$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.7132462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Vitality54c1,676$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.2528743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Nongshim RedForce48c1,634$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.113836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Team Vitality57c1,600$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.624158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked Team Vitality63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5345…38dcbacked Team Vitality62c1,575$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nongshim RedForce42c1,550$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.9941734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Vitality55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8257252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Vitality45c1,500$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1124250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Team Vitality43c1,402$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.231030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Team Vitality26c1,337$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.133627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Nongshim RedForce42c1,333$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.6624946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Team Vitality55c1,297$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.517640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Vitality50c1,275$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality62c1,245$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8565559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x474c…6625backed Team Vitality55c1,202$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.682740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality68c1,161$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.1153159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Vitality44c1,141$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b70…c668backed Team Vitality20c1,121$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nongshim RedForce67c1,088$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8350944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579c…ff45backed Nongshim RedForce45c1,077$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Vitality61c1,050$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.921,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Team Vitality75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Vitality53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Nongshim RedForce47c996$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.746347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Nongshim RedForce40c976.69$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.519838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Vitality22c960.79$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4646326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Team Vitality60c936.34$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Vitality55c916.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim RedForce44c915.92$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Vitality16c913.1$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4860022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Nongshim RedForce43c911.07$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0223151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Team Vitality55c898.63$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.2512143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Vitality60c877.07$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.3156357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nongshim RedForce45c866.82$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1157151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Team Vitality55c837.2$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4613743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Nongshim RedForce24c817.13$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.0221055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Vitality57c817$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.698347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Nongshim RedForce46c804.78$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.588852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Vitality57c789.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.38144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Nongshim RedForce39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Vitality54c763.02$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9531153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Team Vitality58c758.46$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9119546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5940…94c8backed Team Vitality49c757.75$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Nongshim RedForce58c738.35$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.4115431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed Team Vitality69c719.73$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Nongshim RedForce36c654.32$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5177744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Nongshim RedForce46c650$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Nongshim RedForce25c645.08$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.817920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Team Vitality57c629.59$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36026354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Vitality74c619.45$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Nongshim RedForce40c613.02$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2513043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Team Vitality47c607.17$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0115358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb745…7546backed Team Vitality2c599$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Vitality51c592.75$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.961,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nongshim RedForce34c573.28$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.4574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Nongshim RedForce44c567.3$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8520160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Team Vitality55c558.85$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3725444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Nongshim RedForce61c550$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.333661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a1d…78d4backed Team Vitality19c517.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Team Vitality77c509.06$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Nongshim RedForce42c500.1$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0625453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Nongshim RedForce45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Nongshim RedForce43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim RedForce42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Nongshim RedForce43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2856043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Team Vitality57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Team Vitality55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9918049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.