Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedcc9d1ac8d73ebca17e495b622e2cd061d5f74cc8c5d4f0e425c1d0cf3fcdcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Team Vitality, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Vitality | 33c | 1,477$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.88 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 796.12$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 574.53$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Team Vitality | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Vitality | 32c | 447.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Team Vitality | 30c | 348.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Team Vitality | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Vitality | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Team Vitality | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Team Vitality | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Vitality | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 44.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 38.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)Team Vitality won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.