TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, Nongshim RedForce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce27c3,632$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9941,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Nongshim RedForce44c3,350$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nongshim RedForce39c3,123$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.7440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Vitality60c3,099$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Team Vitality48c3,029$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.145058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nongshim RedForce53c2,581$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.1912951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Team Vitality66c2,540$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality59c2,491$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.2165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked Nongshim RedForce50c2,465$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Vitality47c2,134$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.2440944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Vitality69c2,002$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.956551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Vitality74c1,985$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nongshim RedForce31c1,791$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.76150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Vitality59c1,442$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.4716347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality60c1,344$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.4953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Team Vitality37c1,329$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.5530652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Team Vitality44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim RedForce39c1,125$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.3793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Team Vitality56c1,073$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.8763955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Team Vitality69c1,050$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed Nongshim RedForce54c1,021$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked Nongshim RedForce57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5706250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality53c966.47$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.741,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Vitality77c907.67$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3530147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce39c879.25$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.311,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim RedForce63c805.35$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Nongshim RedForce32c737.47$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.993132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce50c696.93$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed Team Vitality69c690.17$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.956755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Nongshim RedForce45c681.85$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.833548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Team Vitality30c651.05$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.744751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Team Vitality51c613.53$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5313743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Nongshim RedForce45c613.41$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.038334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb489…4944backed Team Vitality66c597.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nongshim RedForce38c570.51$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce15c510$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.860022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Nongshim RedForce46c501$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4620160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce39c500.43$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.351,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Nongshim RedForce43c484.21$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5914941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Team Vitality55c449$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.052347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Nongshim RedForce23c443.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.018852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Vitality66c431.91$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0257151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…2573backed Nongshim RedForce71c423.94$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Nongshim RedForce18c400$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.546747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed Nongshim RedForce52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80f5…daa2backed Nongshim RedForce73c383.81$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Vitality40c363.02$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5650944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Team Vitality30c349.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.993661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Team Vitality67c342.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.191181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed Nongshim RedForce32c332.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.417920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Vitality56c306.32$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.891,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…0bf2backed Nongshim RedForce45c301.22$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Vitality61c288.21$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.439042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Vitality38c265.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.792944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed Team Vitality38c255.19$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.197745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Nongshim RedForce25c241.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce40c199.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.061,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Team Vitality35c195.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1423836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…eaeabacked Team Vitality35c191.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.441428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nongshim RedForce34c183$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.251,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Nongshim RedForce74c179.85$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.613056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Nongshim RedForce76c175.62$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.975855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Nongshim RedForce10c172.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.495532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Vitality62c169.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5416963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Nongshim RedForce50c164.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.199838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nongshim RedForce40c162$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1155637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed Nongshim RedForce28c154.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked Nongshim RedForce59c154.19$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9712856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Team Vitality65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Nongshim RedForce66c149.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.839151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Nongshim RedForce37c132.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0715160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Vitality68c131.79$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0977744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nongshim RedForce33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.990733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nongshim RedForce20c126.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9368949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Nongshim RedForce52c125.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2123644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Vitality56c118.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7193049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Vitality54c117.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5822455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Nongshim RedForce40c117$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3196245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Nongshim RedForce48c113.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nongshim RedForce32c113.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7784838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Team Vitality29c113$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.239051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Team Vitality58c111.34$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3436145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Nongshim RedForce37c109$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed Team Vitality37c106.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.964238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Team Vitality25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752070%14 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+57.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed Team Vitality63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Vitality55c98.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.121,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Team Vitality33c89.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…5f4abacked Team Vitality57c85.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Vitality46c80.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9820755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Vitality41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.425141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Vitality76c75.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Team Vitality29c72.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4127956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nongshim RedForce29c66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3866438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nongshim RedForce50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8220138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Nongshim RedForce48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Team Vitality49c61.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1420547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Team Vitality37c61.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2711445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked Team Vitality52c60.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.222552%13 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Nongshim RedForce24c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.639314%13 W · 80 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.