TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of M80, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,342,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,397,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,342,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 839 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89dd…f662backed B863c178,972$113,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,588.246940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked M8040c100,000$39,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,599.9914050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed B861c99,700$60,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,882.893857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed M8039c86,028$33,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,930.4217951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed B860c55,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,00023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed B856c54,034$30,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,515.210142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed M8044c45,434$19,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,808.077363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked B860c41,667$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,666.6722354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked B861c40,809$25,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,805.555,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3e…9978backed M800c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked B861c36,361$22,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,320.538358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked M8042c35,000$14,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,583.7275652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked B861c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed M8030c30,000$9,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,067.0510361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked M8040c30,000$12,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,099.8416245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed M8040c25,034$10,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,023.7450054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked M8036c23,334$8,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,360.9836453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed M8039c22,954$9,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,031.5613244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked M8039c22,773$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,90016248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8038c22,392$8,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,508.841649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed B859c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed M8040c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed B862c18,888$11,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,177.4433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed B861c15,980$9,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,202.462,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked M8039c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8503053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a7…1137backed M8036c14,025$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed B860c13,241$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,291.210359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked M8040c12,507$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed M8041c12,196$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.3619455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed M8039c12,079$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,686.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1158…4e19backed M8040c12,043$4,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked M8039c12,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked M8039c11,004$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.27250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked M8033c10,323$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.1864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked B860c9,841$5,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.0812956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5667…8ca3backed M8027c8,977$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.682454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked M8036c8,500$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.219248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed B860c8,340$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.082564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed B860c8,133$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.0119055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed M8033c8,093$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70025747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed M8039c8,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9911439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked M8039c7,880$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.0223145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked M8041c7,763$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.932268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8040c7,500$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8033c7,214$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.061,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed B866c7,035$4,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.5267041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f3…50eabacked B859c7,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed B858c6,750$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83523848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed M8038c6,072$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30020448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed M8023c5,901$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.225935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked M8033c5,679$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89812143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked M8031c5,644$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.031,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed B865c5,476$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.679764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8028c5,195$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.854,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked B872c5,093$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.9816343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed M8039c5,071$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.1337157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed B859c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0509551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed M8040c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed M8039c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9919543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B877c4,911$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.935,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed M8040c4,869$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.566737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed B872c4,592$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.7787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed M8030c4,575$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.621,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked M8030c4,447$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.941,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B865c4,083$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4297,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed B858c4,060$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.3566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked M8027c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed B860c3,951$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.3926155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked M8044c3,935$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.8429127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B867c3,458$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.1188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed M8037c3,241$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked B860c3,194$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.5553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed M8029c3,168$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.436,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked B873c3,144$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.8829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed M8040c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked M8042c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked M8040c2,972$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.842356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed B873c2,934$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.15466.7%36 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed B872c2,871$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.7619659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked B867c2,839$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.241,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed B862c2,820$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.675255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…9db8backed M8027c2,658$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.811421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed B861c2,600$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0147751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B872c2,579$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.411,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed B870c2,424$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.182,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed M8039c2,423$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95013732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b5…484ebacked B870c2,420$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked B872c2,406$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.081,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked B868c2,354$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.212,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B864c2,298$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.233,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed M8044c2,264$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.119746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked B872c2,215$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.193,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked B859c2,167$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.2911354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed B863c2,158$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.791,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed M8033c2,065$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.4614362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed M8025c2,016$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed B861c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78012660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed M8027c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed B872c1,923$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.156663.6%42 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed B874c1,916$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.167766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.