CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x305e733cb84c09da0eae0a9bb73e9502e5122c9c16b2e067a490454588853328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked M80 | 65c | 6,294$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.79 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 56c | 5,036$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.13 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed B8 | 35c | 2,882$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.58 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked B8 | 42c | 2,025$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.52 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked B8 | 32c | 1,770$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked B8 | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed B8 | 34c | 1,565$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.94 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed M80 | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed M80 | 49c | 1,193$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked M80 | 43c | 808.97$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.04 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked M80 | 68c | 750$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked B8 | 42c | 747.21$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.07 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed M80 | 68c | 735$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed M80 | 64c | 687.56$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed M80 | 18c | 649.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 41c | 471.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed B8 | 32c | 470.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed B8 | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed M80 | 68c | 442.6$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.97 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed B8 | 35c | 442.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed B8 | 35c | 347.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…d27cbacked B8 | 43c | 342.86$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked B8 | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…0bf2backed B8 | 47c | 302.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked B8 | 34c | 295.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed M80 | 59c | 289.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…d8cdbacked B8 | 34c | 286.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed M80 | 57c | 260.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…0854backed B8 | 43c | 245.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed M80 | 49c | 238.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked M80 | 66c | 220$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked B8 | 36c | 203.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed M80 | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef15…74dabacked B8 | 35c | 194.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed M80 | 66c | 185.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed B8 | 46c | 163.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked B8 | 42c | 139.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked B8 | 35c | 133.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked M80 | 58c | 123.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed B8 | 54c | 109.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed M80 | 57c | 105.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed B8 | 47c | 100.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289b…ded5backed B8 | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked B8 | 35c | 99.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked M80 | 54c | 97.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed B8 | 56c | 85.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked M80 | 30c | 78.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked B8 | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked B8 | 76c | 66.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked B8 | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed B8 | 36c | 59.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed M80 | 65c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed B8 | 41c | 57.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked B8 | 35c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed M80 | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed M80 | 53c | 53.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed B8 | 35c | 51.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed M80 | 39c | 51.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked B8 | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed M80 | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed M80 | 42c | 34.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed B8 | 45c | 33.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed M80 | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked M80 | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed M80 | 66c | 29.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed B8 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed M80 | 66c | 28.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 66c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed M80 | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…8ddabacked M80 | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed M80 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1B8 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-2.5) vs M80 (+2.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.