CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x160a3e6da0a85efd3552ee5a077c7df4453c938fc342e0efc9ccec374f959317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 53c | 3,641$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 47c | 1,236$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.73 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…ffd8backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 49c | 1,091$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.93 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Over | 51c | 988.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Over | 2c | 956.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 55c | 905.89$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 35c | 634.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.54 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 49c | 631.4$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.01 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Over | 51c | 409.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 35c | 244.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 45c | 226.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 46c | 223.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 49c | 202.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Over | 59c | 182.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 167.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 49c | 149$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Under | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 50c | 116.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Under | 47c | 87.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2be4backed Over | 49c | 81.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 49c | 65.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 16c | 63.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Over | 53c | 54.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 47c | 51.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…105abacked Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3072backed Over | 48c | 49.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 44.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Over | 24c | 44.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 58c | 39.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 52c | 34.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Under | 54c | 29.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…47e5backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1B8 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-2.5) vs M80 (+2.5)M80 won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.