TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ee9…47e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$41.75
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$222.6
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$323.08
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$5.74
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$10.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$22.58
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$66.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.