CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb67b126fe0906dadabe1f5d0ce779af16b18702e370f4e5d75c37e4b04b6c89e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed Under | 2c | 1,282$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 1,274$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.28 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Over | 63c | 635.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 546.57$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 499.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…0a56backed Over | 53c | 498.79$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 11c | 334.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…5ad8backed Over | 47c | 276.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b8…a9aebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Under | 52c | 182.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 64c | 182.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e41bbacked Over | 48c | 145.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 15c | 143.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 121.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…9190backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1faabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Under | 53c | 96.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 33c | 94.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 20c | 93.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 63c | 78.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…68dbbacked Over | 78c | 77.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 53c | 68.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Over | 48c | 48.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7effbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 61c | 38.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…2120backed Under | 41c | 36.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +3,454.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…0db2backed Over | 53c | 35.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…47e5backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…e315backed Under | 54c | 24.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 48c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…f90dbacked Over | 48c | 22.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…6dccbacked Over | 59c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.