TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof Team Falcons, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fbb…9a17backed MOUZ58c39,083$22,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,363.3415947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons41c22,438$9,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,196.0550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Team Falcons42c15,564$6,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,536.7141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked MOUZ60c14,843$8,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,925.316245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Team Falcons40c13,383$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,396.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons43c12,512$5,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,407.3176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7c2…e8f3backed Team Falcons0c12,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons38c7,872$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed MOUZ60c6,186$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.1820251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ62c5,201$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.3778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons41c4,907$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ63c2,380$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed MOUZ57c1,100$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4734156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons39c1,050$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.981,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ58c939.79$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.713,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf311…a208backed MOUZ61c904.75$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed MOUZ60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010352.4%54 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked MOUZ58c613.63$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons43c480$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Team Falcons41c463.41$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19039847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed MOUZ59c459.02$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.217045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons37c449.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.548845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Team Falcons41c439.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed Team Falcons40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ62c351.81$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ62c319.08$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.125,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed MOUZ59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12310653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed MOUZ60c299.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12055941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed MOUZ58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Team Falcons42c288.1$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12116650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons40c272.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed MOUZ61c262.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.321263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons41c246$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8627744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons43c234.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…70d9backed MOUZ64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.382737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Team Falcons37c220$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.42536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed MOUZ60c209.39$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6838848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed MOUZ62c205$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.967750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed MOUZ62c200.4$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.433354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Falcons37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7480740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Team Falcons42c157$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9410935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked Team Falcons22c138.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54f…49dabacked Team Falcons44c136.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.933548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Team Falcons38c128.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1514544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Team Falcons44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4247165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked MOUZ60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Team Falcons40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed MOUZ62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3840155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked MOUZ58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Team Falcons42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Team Falcons38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed MOUZ60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3333153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd62…a229backed MOUZ42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3312843.8%56 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99e…8c2bbacked MOUZ64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+79.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed MOUZ42c77.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.896259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+165.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ42c75.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.657,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed MOUZ58c71.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked MOUZ60c69.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.618351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed MOUZ62c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0874054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0335…6829backed MOUZ61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.575945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd5…46b9backed Team Falcons44c63.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Team Falcons37c61.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked MOUZ50c61.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7633340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed MOUZ63c60.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3844552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed MOUZ55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Team Falcons44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5fa…6758backed Team Falcons56c53.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Team Falcons41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.527735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed MOUZ60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed MOUZ60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205856.9%33 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons40c49.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ61c47.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.441,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x320b…6057backed Team Falcons40c47.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992931%9 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6018…f21bbacked Team Falcons55c47.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0879…52fabacked Team Falcons41c46.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x621a…3e19backed Team Falcons37c45.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.976659.1%39 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed MOUZ64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.438754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Team Falcons38c39.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons45c38.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.222,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Team Falcons41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e43…45aabacked MOUZ60c35.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.273650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked MOUZ60c35.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f72…b128backed Team Falcons53c35.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.637960.8%48 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Team Falcons42c28.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed Team Falcons42c28.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9813754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x598e…755dbacked MOUZ62c24.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.534341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked MOUZ61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.599443.6%41 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Team Falcons42c24.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed MOUZ61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3115966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed MOUZ58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.412856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed MOUZ51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8829752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3b…2ff0backed MOUZ60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.