TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$347,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26c5…8813backed MOUZ35c29,336$10,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,198.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ37c28,668$10,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,580.5710560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Falcons64c27,552$17,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,852.7215947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked MOUZ33c18,844$6,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,173.7241040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons65c16,334$10,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.8876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons65c15,750$10,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,44036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons68c12,500$8,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,028.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed MOUZ2c12,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ34c12,000$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,12075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ5c6,054$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.011,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons67c6,000$4,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.829248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed MOUZ9c5,717$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.461266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Team Falcons67c5,692$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.833359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ34c5,514$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.992,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed MOUZ7c5,347$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0551942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked MOUZ35c5,023$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.225536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Falcons66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Team Falcons65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.993250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ32c4,609$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.9133553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons66c4,253$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.0264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed MOUZ31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2404748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons66c3,798$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.2125655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Team Falcons69c3,703$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.0272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ34c3,556$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.9740140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed MOUZ21c3,475$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.488226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ23c3,363$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.83,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Team Falcons69c2,930$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8210044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ22c2,928$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.846,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons63c2,904$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.425248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Team Falcons63c2,800$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03618056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed MOUZ19c2,750$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.53036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Team Falcons66c2,750$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.998938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed MOUZ37c2,559$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.791560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked MOUZ16c2,468$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1120935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ22c2,229$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.884,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed MOUZ35c2,056$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.339443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9917148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ39c1,928$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.255,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41b…36bebacked MOUZ6c1,848$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.39520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ35c1,822$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.9153444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ35c1,713$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Falcons64c1,700$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61217460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons66c1,664$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.6815155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ34c1,615$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.062,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons65c1,518$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49514257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ2c1,449$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9921522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked MOUZ34c1,362$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46332542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed MOUZ30c1,321$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ2c1,300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.669624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked MOUZ2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked MOUZ35c1,185$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3327749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed Team Falcons68c1,054$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3718963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.039148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed MOUZ35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons78c961.93$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ30c955$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.732732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ4c943.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7661034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked MOUZ3c919.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked MOUZ2c840$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.29216.3%15 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked MOUZ4c802.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.052152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons61c755.71$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6244343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked MOUZ16c738.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6639847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Team Falcons68c733.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8411061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons70c729.4$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8227552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7c…4ca0backed Team Falcons71c714.57$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Team Falcons65c706.02$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.686654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons78c700$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.130259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Falcons66c679.54$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked MOUZ29c673.62$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.354353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Team Falcons65c650.72$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.723966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed Team Falcons62c623.8$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.841136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons64c606.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2573658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ25c599.88$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.592,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98dc…9963backed Team Falcons67c586.04$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked MOUZ35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons67c563.78$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.844,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ18c561.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Team Falcons66c560.72$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.641747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x592c…2824backed MOUZ11c526.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ab…8199backed MOUZ4c519$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid+16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed MOUZ2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed MOUZ23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed MOUZ8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Team Falcons61c493.07$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.33262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MOUZ35c486.7$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons69c485.92$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6322750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ26c467.24$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.964,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ38c456.04$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.36851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4925…4f82backed Team Falcons63c455.27$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Team Falcons66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5540048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons60c451.35$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5439548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Team Falcons76c423.89$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7315069.3%104 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked MOUZ37c423.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.515052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ31c416.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2847147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb4…a903backed Team Falcons64c414.94$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.