TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over53c9,434$5,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,021.1611820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c8,105$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under41c7,976$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,711.2312146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c7,111$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c6,331$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under40c5,871$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.542737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over58c5,515$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,216.378728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over71c5,276$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,742.314866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over67c4,792$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under77c3,908$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.8132656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c3,006$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under31c2,718$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.7644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over67c2,329$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.5910331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c2,215$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.9330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over61c1,954$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under51c1,804$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.5543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c1,768$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.541,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b57…95e1backed Under50c1,700$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8503865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6f…8887backed Over66c1,505$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under44c1,241$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.2235549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under41c1,138$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.1563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over66c1,060$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204e…8d08backed Over75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over6c947$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7311238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over60c900$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over28c801$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over73c741.48$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53812250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under28c714.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.2829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under30c643.86$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.724626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under46c630.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4111440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over64c618.75$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3974744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under33c614.65$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.012,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over55c599.99$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33113850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c595.24$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.024,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under33c588.78$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.561,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under30c557.63$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over54c557$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c543.91$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over52c532.77$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.048748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under30c523.89$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.893,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Over63c477$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c417.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.911,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.677245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c373.13$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.421,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over70c366.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3710949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over61c336.63$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4633843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under34c325$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3734122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c312.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.472,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over61c310.72$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.543060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over50c299.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over54c291.52$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.071145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over55c279.17$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9634731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over57c274.18$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.461,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under42c263.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.723645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over57c247.37$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under30c240$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16823732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2722421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over68c226.95$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8528646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c223.66$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.691,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over67c222.78$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2631554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over59c220.32$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9927154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under33c218.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1851429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over62c214.78$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.157057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…7bb3backed Over7c214.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c212.92$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under42c211.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under30c210$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.681,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over62c208.3$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1619026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over47c205.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over48c197.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2122052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over67c188.53$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1713253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Under25c170.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.422646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over59c169.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8331747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under30c167.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5431553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over68c166.07$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6441857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over68c156.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3168141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Under31c147.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.116052.5%84 W · 76 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Under35c143$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over36c135$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1522258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over67c134.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under31c129.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Over72c124.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.555042%21 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under32c118.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under44c114.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2917647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under32c105$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8650833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f9c…305dbacked Over67c101.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0712544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5921955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.412437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee9…47e5backed Over63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632040%8 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1c…3d69backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under44c94.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7525454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over65c92.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.024146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.