Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f7a740e7ddce681887d4aba43e273ac35ea33a39b554b8fd6902f4402191ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 30c | 4,767$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.32 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 2,197$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 1,897$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.61 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 17c | 1,499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 71c | 1,331$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.92 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 71c | 1,200$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.84 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 70c | 1,036$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.86 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 1,014$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 537.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 72c | 507.99$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 71c | 479.83$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 73c | 300.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 11c | 299.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 226$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 218$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 71c | 210.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 26c | 192.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 73c | 167$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 71c | 134.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 11c | 101.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 21c | 94.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 74c | 78.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 71c | 58.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 71c | 55.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 72c | 54.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 26c | 46.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 71c | 41.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 71c | 39.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 71c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 79c | 20.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5this page
- Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Honduras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.