Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c3e4e367112b388a9f28bce494cfb2959db384d1ed3cfe4783ad8e6dc91970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hondurasof Argentina, Honduras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Argentina | 44c | 9,789$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.49 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Honduras | 56c | 5,780$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Argentina | 45c | 5,215$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Honduras | 51c | 4,151$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.19 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Honduras | 59c | 3,409$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.34 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Honduras | 56c | 2,592$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Honduras | 52c | 2,232$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.77 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc242…5cf5backed Argentina | 49c | 1,421$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Honduras | 57c | 1,147$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.73 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Argentina | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Argentina | 41c | 998.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.1 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Argentina | 35c | 991.13$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Honduras | 54c | 908$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.68 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Honduras | 58c | 874$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Honduras | 50c | 859.88$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.28 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Honduras | 51c | 648.15$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.59 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Argentina | 48c | 629.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Argentina | 40c | 593.78$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Honduras | 52c | 566.11$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Honduras | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Argentina | 48c | 534.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Argentina | 46c | 526$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.81 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Honduras | 58c | 511.9$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Argentina | 41c | 456.27$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Honduras | 56c | 440.87$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed Argentina | 49c | 408.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Argentina | 32c | 372$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…f9d1backed Argentina | 45c | 356.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Argentina | 44c | 353.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…7957backed Honduras | 61c | 323.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Honduras | 52c | 305.37$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Argentina | 47c | 302.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Honduras | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Honduras | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Argentina | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Honduras | 57c | 297.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Argentina | 40c | 289.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Argentina | 49c | 264.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Argentina | 59c | 245.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Honduras | 54c | 239.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Honduras | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +12.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Argentina | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Honduras | 64c | 205.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Argentina | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Argentina | 49c | 193.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Argentina | 49c | 169.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Argentina | 56c | 165$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Argentina | 48c | 162.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Honduras | 56c | 161.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Argentina | 47c | 147.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Honduras | 50c | 135.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Argentina | 50c | 135.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Argentina | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Argentina | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Argentina | 44c | 113.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Argentina | 44c | 113.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Honduras | 61c | 109.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…8c1abacked Argentina | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Honduras | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Honduras | 56c | 106.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Honduras | 56c | 102.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Argentina | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Argentina | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Argentina | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Honduras | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Honduras | 56c | 99.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Argentina | 42c | 99.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Argentina | 30c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Argentina | 44c | 97.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Argentina | 48c | 96.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Argentina | 64c | 93.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Argentina | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Honduras | 51c | 88.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Honduras | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…7a5bbacked Argentina | 40c | 83.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Honduras | 63c | 77.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…9182backed Honduras | 60c | 73.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Argentina | 46c | 67.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Argentina | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Argentina | 47c | 65.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Argentina | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Honduras | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Honduras | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…67b4backed Argentina | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Argentina | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Honduras | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Argentina | 40c | 47.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Argentina | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Honduras | 57c | 47.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed Honduras | 53c | 43.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Honduras | 52c | 42.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…4eefbacked Argentina | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Argentina | 48c | 38.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Honduras | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Honduras | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Argentina | 44c | 35.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Honduras | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…b285backed Argentina | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…4c96backed Honduras | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Honduras | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)this page
- Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.