Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd04146af503500c85df8c6a045ab80a7f235acd85241ea7331e7dc7b2fa360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 3,620$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 2,057$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 19c | 1,661$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 72c | 1,299$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.61 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 1,263$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 1,012$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 2c | 820.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Over | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 15c | 480$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 14c | 466.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 14c | 457.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 17c | 343.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 13c | 339.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 12c | 260.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Under | 11c | 251.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 18c | 198.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 74c | 135.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 15c | 115.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Under | 15c | 107.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 26c | 75.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 21c | 55.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 79c | 17.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 72c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Over | 75c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5this page
- Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Honduras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.