TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,395 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked paiN14c22,789$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.2363157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed MOUZ72c8,684$6,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.1110560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed paiN35c7,708$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.3820448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ63c6,394$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.133359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ61c6,224$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.7933343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN32c5,080$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.951,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked paiN22c4,750$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.17441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked paiN27c4,383$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.693,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN22c2,744$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.012,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed MOUZ70c2,624$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.8418056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d69…e597backed paiN14c2,508$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN16c2,425$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.956,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ50c2,000$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.5845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked paiN43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed paiN37c1,777$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.2287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked paiN11c1,746$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1868138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN27c1,746$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.111,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN10c1,594$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.94,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed paiN38c1,500$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.0415740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed paiN38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.994546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked paiN40c1,445$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ73c1,432$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4514257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed paiN13c1,309$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.115436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed paiN25c1,221$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8518338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ62c1,200$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.525,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed MOUZ51c1,117$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked MOUZ71c1,038$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8539970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed MOUZ62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c6…492bbacked paiN1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked paiN36c926.24$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN39c889.29$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN7c800$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5369624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed MOUZ50c797.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.9613738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MOUZ60c788.73$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.455843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked paiN13c755.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2643237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MOUZ55c735.86$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed MOUZ72c650.76$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8715155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f43…d8a0backed paiN8c649.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.48714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb4…a903backed MOUZ62c645.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed paiN19c617.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked paiN40c551.67$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6742050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed paiN10c543.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3929934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked paiN28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN37c520$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.235,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ63c503.17$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1760953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed paiN12c500$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2132136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed paiN22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked paiN12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20040140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed paiN42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21024942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed paiN37c499.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN25c497.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.24,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked paiN38c486.84$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked paiN11c465.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ51c458$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.022,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked paiN39c453$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed paiN28c444.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4952750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN9c435.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.164,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked paiN12c400$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4746042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed paiN21c399.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8514037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN47c383.65$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.184,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked paiN8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed MOUZ58c353.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4467372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN39c347.79$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.642,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed MOUZ74c334.33$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3313754%74 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed paiN19c330.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3440141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed paiN36c313.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8338835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed paiN29c312.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6150846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed paiN35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8617054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed paiN34c291.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017153.2%91 W · 80 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed MOUZ73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.977748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked paiN38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked paiN40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked paiN28c249.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7e…ddbbbacked paiN11c247.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked MOUZ50c232.44$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8227549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked paiN10c209.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked paiN27c208.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713142%55 W · 76 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a2…c0c5backed MOUZ72c207.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.231850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed paiN5c203.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1725416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed MOUZ51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked paiN18c190$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ65c186.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.431,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked paiN6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.229156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN39c164.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.355,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…db38backed paiN42c164.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed paiN12c162.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked MOUZ62c159.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed paiN37c156.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.034,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked paiN11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59216.3%15 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.822,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed paiN13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9341848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed paiN38c137$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.066445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked paiN50c132.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0410942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed paiN37c119$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0338848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed paiN20c111.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MOUZ75c110$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed paiN14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f0…de5bbacked paiN40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.