CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2be3d768a0cd73541bc4421c13d7dc677cee63e3743527cc3894d9a3f78979b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN | 31c | 8,169$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.33 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked MOUZ | 71c | 6,762$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.1 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ | 78c | 2,002$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.19 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed paiN | 44c | 1,857$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.72 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,799$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.69 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,503$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.35 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,365$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.83 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed paiN | 35c | 946.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.37 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed paiN | 57c | 926.92$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.35 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked MOUZ | 40c | 887.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked paiN | 59c | 844.99$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.74 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed paiN | 61c | 820.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed paiN | 48c | 809.08$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed paiN | 60c | 700$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.47 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 42c | 601.1$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed paiN | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN | 58c | 487.48$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 475.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed MOUZ | 44c | 459.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked MOUZ | 60c | 408.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed paiN | 61c | 400$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ | 61c | 395.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked paiN | 57c | 339.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed paiN | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked MOUZ | 72c | 276.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed paiN | 55c | 231.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed MOUZ | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked paiN | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked paiN | 59c | 168.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…1456backed MOUZ | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…8fa3backed paiN | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed paiN | 59c | 117.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked paiN | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ | 42c | 108.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed MOUZ | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed paiN | 60c | 84.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed paiN | 59c | 83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed MOUZ | 43c | 79.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…d8a0backed paiN | 32c | 78.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 74.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…1f55backed MOUZ | 64c | 74.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed MOUZ | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked paiN | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed paiN | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed paiN | 58c | 59.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed MOUZ | 43c | 57.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed MOUZ | 43c | 53.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked paiN | 47c | 52.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed MOUZ | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed paiN | 58c | 48.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked MOUZ | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed MOUZ | 65c | 46.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed paiN | 60c | 41.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked paiN | 60c | 40.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed MOUZ | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed MOUZ | 43c | 35.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed MOUZ | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…bd26backed MOUZ | 64c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b014backed MOUZ | 45c | 31.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed MOUZ | 42c | 30.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed MOUZ | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…b918backed paiN | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed MOUZ | 72c | 22.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…61e4backed paiN | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed paiN | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked paiN | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MOUZ | 59c | 16.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed MOUZ | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…c34dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group AMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.