TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13a6…c34d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$9.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$48.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+418.6%+$57.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$7.81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$19.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.61
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$31.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+39%+$7.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$6.47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$17.97
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$6.96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$7.33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+240%+$40.11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$17.74
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$8.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$9.01
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$8.27
Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Oleg Prihodkobacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$11.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will FalleN retire by June 1? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.9
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Unsettled Resentment · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$97.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$13.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.