Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ad0fa2a2e511e1d7f9d234ec9f50c8aa17b3e3fcb6a07f8af790c68245f7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 56c | 16,360$9,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,215.29 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 0c | 12,684$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 12c | 12,309$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.72 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 17c | 10,600$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.81 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 67c | 6,986$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.05 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 75c | 5,085$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.59 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed No | 2c | 5,007$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 55c | 4,945$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.74 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 68c | 4,910$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.31 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 32c | 4,805$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.54 | 73 | 71.2%52 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 77c | 4,011$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.57 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…60fbbacked Yes | 59c | 4,008$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.48 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…7892backed Yes | 30c | 3,686$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 29c | 2,822$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.41 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 37c | 2,779$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.78 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 58c | 2,636$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.08 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,591$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.03 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,559$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 73c | 2,506$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.86 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 34c | 2,360$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.24 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 21c | 2,330$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.32 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 4c | 2,293$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed No | 44c | 2,266$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,261$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.4 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 76c | 2,211$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.63 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,206$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.4 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…ebcabacked Yes | 76c | 2,146$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,114$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.75 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 6c | 2,068$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…1891backed Yes | 61c | 2,035$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…7079backed No | 46c | 2,017$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked No | 50c | 1,962$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.81 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 8c | 1,959$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 36c | 1,698$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.26 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 36c | 1,659$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.38 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed No | 20c | 1,645$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 40c | 1,563$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.07 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed No | 37c | 1,521$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.06 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 78c | 1,496$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.75 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…d348backed No | 6c | 1,407$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 19c | 1,358$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 74c | 1,309$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.62 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…06bfbacked No | 51c | 1,298$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 54c | 1,230$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.24 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 39c | 1,192$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.11 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…e9f3backed No | 12c | 1,181$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 49c | 1,178$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…1152backed No | 31c | 1,156$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.45 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…9b49backed No | 28c | 1,141$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.09 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…0111backed No | 40c | 1,123$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.05 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 70c | 1,081$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed No | 38c | 1,026$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.69 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,023$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.52 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 61c | 1,020$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.44 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 58c | 1,018$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.49 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 67c | 1,012$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.57 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,005$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.08 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 6c | 997.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes | 66c | 953.34$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…819fbacked Yes | 68c | 925.78$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 47c | 859.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 73c | 858.14$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.26 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 68c | 846.01$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 66c | 845.73$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…790bbacked Yes | 64c | 819.11$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 58c | 813.07$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.92 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 26c | 800.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed No | 26c | 776.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…9917backed Yes | 54c | 753.56$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.52 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Yes | 73c | 748.87$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…2934backed No | 35c | 744.34$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 741.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.39 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…dbd4backed No | 43c | 699.95$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…1963backed No | 34c | 693.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes | 50c | 690.28$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.56 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb087…6658backed No | 44c | 689.25$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 71c | 668.54$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…a932backed Yes | 73c | 664.19$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…00f7backed Yes | 57c | 660.29$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.92 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…8844backed No | 3c | 644.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 41c | 643.85$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 73c | 639.99$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…1f3ebacked Yes | 80c | 612.5$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…cc21backed Yes | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…4e80backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 68c | 583.36$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked No | 28c | 557.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 75c | 550.16$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 57c | 548.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.45 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 66c | 546.92$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…5aa6backed Yes | 72c | 543.17$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed Yes | 61c | 523.78$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…561cbacked Yes | 42c | 500.71$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 60c | 499.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…a59ebacked Yes | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 38c | 495.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 70c | 489.85$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.