Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f80dd1f09f317b359f6ed1bd38eeab9ff16f7058cd3222f2bd6bd0c2eb6fa8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 1c | 34,001$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 30,168$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 7c | 19,017$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.82 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 11c | 14,946$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.13 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 32c | 12,545$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.22 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 14c | 12,078$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.01 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 13c | 10,835$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.81 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 6c | 7,343$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.74 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…cb24backed Yes | 16c | 6,667$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 23c | 6,468$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.35 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 41c | 5,960$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.87 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,036$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 9c | 4,688$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb087…6658backed Yes | 3c | 4,539$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…70d2backed Yes | 13c | 4,431$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.72 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 16c | 4,370$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.84 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,273$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 3c | 4,064$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…924ebacked No | 79c | 3,821$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…7892backed Yes | 46c | 3,717$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…dbd4backed Yes | 8c | 3,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,469$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.52 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,351$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 14c | 3,279$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.98 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,185$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 27c | 2,971$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 13c | 2,918$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.34 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,702$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.2 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,700$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.12 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3559backed Yes | 3c | 2,674$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…b2fabacked Yes | 6c | 2,424$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…eadfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,377$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 13c | 2,306$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.93 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 23c | 2,192$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 21c | 2,187$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.97 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…cd0abacked Yes | 5c | 2,060$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked No | 72c | 2,037$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.24 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…3a33backed Yes | 32c | 1,977$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.84 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 10c | 1,958$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 6c | 1,923$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed Yes | 3c | 1,833$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 21c | 1,832$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.46 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 1,798$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 25c | 1,713$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.49 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 28c | 1,630$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.98 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 8c | 1,591$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 17c | 1,547$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.24 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 40c | 1,497$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.67 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…765abacked No | 77c | 1,481$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.02 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 33c | 1,471$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes | 5c | 1,403$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 9c | 1,396$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…f169backed No | 76c | 1,382$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes | 11c | 1,370$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,368$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,294$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 11c | 1,288$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 41c | 1,285$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.08 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed No | 69c | 1,255$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.11 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 1,253$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…2599backed Yes | 26c | 1,196$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 168 | 17.3%29 W · 139 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…136dbacked No | 72c | 1,190$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.15 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,189$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.97 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,172$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed Yes | 41c | 1,164$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.04 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 19c | 1,123$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,104$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +150.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…a191backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…a932backed Yes | 27c | 1,088$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 17c | 1,047$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 17c | 990$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 14c | 982.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 979.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 17c | 973.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 7c | 955.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 15c | 946.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 22c | 912.52$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…a2b2backed Yes | 27c | 899.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed Yes | 40c | 867.88$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.02 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 24c | 814.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…0d06backed Yes | 2c | 798.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 22c | 786.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 786.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…88f5backed Yes | 7c | 773.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 4c | 767.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 13c | 764.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes | 20c | 763.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 11c | 758.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 753.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 14c | 750$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 16c | 748.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 17c | 733.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes | 4c | 723.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 45c | 717.71$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 20c | 716.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 344 | 27%93 W · 251 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked No | 73c | 709.71$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.87 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.