TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb60c…72f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 64 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$217.43
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.51
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$94.9
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$115.9
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.64
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+262.8%+$69.28
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+103.8%+$43.3
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.91
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$250.63
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$274.05
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$958.32
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+141%+$58.5
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.4%+$154.41
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+165.3%+$41.33
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+41.7%+$179.05
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+50.5%+$9.22
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+159.3%+$159.29
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39.6%+$79.12
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$16.17
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.6%+$5.23
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+284.8%+$135.43
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$358.24
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.39
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$142.01
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$84.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,668.25
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$101.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Córdoba CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,115.75
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+71.3%+$76.33
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$975
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$984.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$905
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$832.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$992.57
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$545.7
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,624.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,806Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$1,873.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$21.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$874.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.