La Liga · resolved market
Córdoba CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa827bb8c8068adb6a443fc8ad1b6f774fb94ee65874c1dbf8f69169c2efe8029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed Under | 65c | 3,255$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Over | 35c | 3,082$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 49c | 1,663$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.92 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 63c | 1,242$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 11c | 461.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 370.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.74 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 328.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 51c | 238.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 7c | 193.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 174.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 169.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 65c | 151.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 148.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 107.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 82.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 35c | 68.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 29c | 67.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 48.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 34.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 32.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…a14abacked Over | 46c | 27.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 51c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 51c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5this page
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)Real Sporting de Gijón won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5)Córdoba CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.