South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16ec026fc9755278bec32391140640f4bd0f00359672ea6aeb0ae962a052d160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed Under | 58c | 3,867$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Over | 42c | 3,755$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 58c | 1,783$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.92 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 60c | 914.35$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.79 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 656.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 463.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 397.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 333.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 55c | 147.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 92.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 72.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 62.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 59.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 42c | 53.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 41c | 53.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 25c | 50.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 60c | 50.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 46.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 42c | 45.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 58c | 45.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 44.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 61c | 38.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 34.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…bb74backed Under | 60c | 32.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 41c | 31.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Under | 69c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ce0ebacked Under | 61c | 27.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 56c | 24.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 57c | 19.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.