Token Launches · resolved market
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb788f96a008a3d69439fe94509b98699b0774ec1b3dfda6ba00791ecefc800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 10c | 9,947$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.93 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…186dbacked No | 31c | 7,906$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +300.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 14c | 7,413$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,627$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 37c | 5,300$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.41 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 13c | 4,243$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.6 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…8a2dbacked No | 74c | 3,820$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…08a7backed Yes | 10c | 3,810$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 1c | 3,625$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 7c | 3,464$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +273.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 27c | 3,461$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 46c | 3,436$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…d225backed Yes | 34c | 3,303$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Yes | 64c | 3,289$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,791$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 5c | 2,699$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.87 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…322ebacked No | 16c | 2,667$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…af21backed Yes | 17c | 2,579$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 68c | 2,558$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 53c | 2,507$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed Yes | 1c | 2,402$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed No | 14c | 2,355$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.78 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 10c | 2,040$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed No | 7c | 1,891$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.54 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…f176backed Yes | 45c | 1,862$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe2…383bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,775$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Yes | 3c | 1,664$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 71c | 1,661$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 6c | 1,622$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +197.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,605$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…f3f0backed No | 13c | 1,576$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…eb1bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,514$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 1,490$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…ce94backed Yes | 5c | 1,480$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…fe94backed No | 28c | 1,462$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,437$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…07ebbacked No | 14c | 1,390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 13c | 1,359$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.79 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 9c | 1,323$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.17 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…bfa2backed Yes | 76c | 1,319$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…d648backed No | 6c | 1,300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…7f5dbacked No | 24c | 1,268$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked No | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…76c3backed Yes | 75c | 1,250$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 58c | 1,221$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.75 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…608fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,197$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 9c | 1,182$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.45 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…03a5backed Yes | 33c | 1,175$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.74 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,117$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 7c | 1,056$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed No | 10c | 1,034$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 11c | 1,018$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.66 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…edf4backed No | 11c | 990.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +799.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 975.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 11c | 937.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…a405backed Yes | 70c | 933.04$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Yes | 11c | 926.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…1b0bbacked No | 29c | 860.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…99d3backed Yes | 2c | 839.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 832.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked No | 12c | 800.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 800.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked No | 38c | 763.2$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…ecadbacked No | 65c | 761.56$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 12c | 750.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.28 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 33c | 740.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…64eebacked No | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked No | 11c | 699.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 22c | 661.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…6effbacked No | 15c | 661.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…d8b3backed No | 9c | 650$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 36c | 650$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…eee3backed Yes | 80c | 626.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…8512backed No | 18c | 611.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd8…f8b4backed Yes | 35c | 601.59$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 32c | 571.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.18 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 5c | 512$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +193.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…1b31backed No | 14c | 498.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +612.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 31c | 479.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 475.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 6c | 463.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…e903backed Yes | 67c | 448.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed No | 40c | 447.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…d5b2backed No | 22c | 446.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 22c | 443.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…e601backed No | 30c | 437.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…630abacked No | 12c | 416.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 72c | 416.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed No | 61c | 409.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Yes | 3c | 408.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…bd6cbacked No | 54c | 406.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 400.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed No | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 27cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 79c | 399.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 72c | 395.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…4ea4backed Yes | 58c | 388.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…d1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 387.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…467ebacked No | 31c | 386.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.