NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f8c5c2c688bb710bcd4fc3bacb38fe75b22c0a4cd413290aea330d962f8a1a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Maple Leafs, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $955,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $966,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $955,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Sabres | 47c | 459,546$216,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243,092.8 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 129,914$70,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,001.31 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 104,680$55,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,929.2 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 75,914$40,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,694.19 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,749.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Sabres | 47c | 48,829$22,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,858.54 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 46,945$24,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,411.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Sabres | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 32,278$16,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,784.56 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 28,834$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500.48 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 22,839$12,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,106.1 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 18,757$9,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,897.45 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 17,500$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,375 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 10,982$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.4 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sabres | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 9,478$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.11 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Sabres | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 8,995$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.39 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 7,510$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.17 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 7,423$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.05 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 46c | 7,222$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.6 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 6,754$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 6,558$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.55 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 11c | 6,205$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.45 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 46c | 4,392$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.71 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sabres | 46c | 4,350$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sabres | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sabres | 56c | 3,866$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.48 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 3,774$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.19 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 11c | 3,252$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.82 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,021$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.11 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Sabres | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 47c | 2,742$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.85 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,643$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Sabres | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 45c | 2,403$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.64 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 47c | 2,304$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.27 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,301$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.52 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,185$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.4 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,100$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,013$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.36 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,917$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc8…dc52backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,916$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed Sabres | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,857$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,846$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.92 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 56c | 1,741$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Sabres | 46c | 1,616$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.64 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 77c | 1,599$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.35 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Sabres | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,467$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.45 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,338$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.13 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,200$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 45c | 1,200$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,200$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,173$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.42 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Sabres | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,040$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.53 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,011$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Sabres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Sabres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Sabres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sabres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Sabres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…2c29backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 900$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…8e6cbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 851.85$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…f0ecbacked Sabres | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 47c | 848.95$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.93 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 60c | 821.06$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.29 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Sabres | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…85a0backed Sabres | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…ae1bbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Sabres | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 680.98$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.73 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Sabres | 47c | 680.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.9 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…d00fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 628.07$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 605$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 558.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 552$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…b6b6backed Sabres | 48c | 500.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Sabres | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabresthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.