TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$371,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$404,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Team WE45c100,258$45,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,347.8811750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c100,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,0004566.7%30 W · 15 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas55c25,400$13,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,417.871,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked Team WE45c16,000$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.9710535.2%37 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c15,756$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,175.1664155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team WE45c11,777$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.5731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Team WE47c10,446$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.5911150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c10,297$5,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,839.61070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Team WE47c10,297$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,887.761020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8d8…0579backed Team WE45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Team WE45c9,931$4,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.251,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Team WE32c9,647$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,112.1821536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas77c9,237$7,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.45860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas61c7,270$4,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.261,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Ninjas in Pyjamas77c6,735$5,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.0254353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c6,500$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efa…fa43backed Ninjas in Pyjamas80c5,206$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.012470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c5,151$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.4916238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team WE15c4,133$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.282,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Team WE44c4,045$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7803336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c4,003$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.2415945.3%72 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5f2cbacked Team WE5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Team WE46c3,910$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.7117537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6286…5307backed Team WE48c3,762$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c3,762$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.321070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.148047.5%38 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…50bcbacked Team WE23c3,516$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.591612.5%2 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE46c3,482$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.9944047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c3,277$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.4722547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Team WE45c3,233$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45521939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Team WE47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas56c3,122$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.269341.9%39 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Team WE46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.999853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Team WE44c2,991$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.1323447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c2,947$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.7923439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas59c2,247$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.745848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Team WE40c2,108$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.7139749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Team WE44c2,100$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.216331.7%20 W · 43 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Team WE17c2,100$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3647536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas76c1,972$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.1759558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x392f…2c07backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c1,969$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.641080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c1,934$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.6226144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas72c1,930$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.831030%3 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick63cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69a0…6e5ebacked Team WE40c1,757$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.961540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas56c1,606$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.797061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team WE44c1,586$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.5699338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team WE46c1,500$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.4846033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4824041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c1,340$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.5521141.2%87 W · 124 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Ninjas in Pyjamas77c1,319$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1830661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team WE23c1,277$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0478050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Team WE23c1,228$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5356432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team WE52c1,198$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.612,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c1…a672backed Team WE22c1,170$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Team WE35c1,121$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7223932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas73c1,034$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.655240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team WE30c1,023$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.661,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team WE47c1,016$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.521,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team WE23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c1,000$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.64748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Team WE44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44018347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed Ninjas in Pyjamas78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22022452.2%117 W · 107 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team WE43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43067549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Team WE4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4086758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Team WE26c998.55$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3153139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde29…2c8cbacked Team WE45c958.95$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Team WE47c957.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+53.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Team WE47c957.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c911.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4232,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team WE29c856.82$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1338624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team WE45c807.51$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Team WE28c787.5$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.271540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c769.63$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9438837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf745…6e59backed Team WE45c759$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…a324backed Team WE42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…80d5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas55c699.96$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…382ebacked Team WE29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…8045backed Ninjas in Pyjamas78c670$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team WE47c648$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.567646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…23afbacked Team WE23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e5…993cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2763246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7745…230bbacked Team WE43c599.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team WE46c599.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.991,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c590.7$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1511054.5%60 W · 50 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bd…e897backed Ninjas in Pyjamas55c570$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team WE27c557.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4453640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Team WE45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25039541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef72…cc6fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas73c548.5$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.662958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Team WE25c545.27$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13421735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c528.3$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.348852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Team WE48c525$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25212454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Team WE44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc7…e85bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas77c499.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+66%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Team WE43c486.11$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0312646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb404…f61bbacked Team WE44c480.01$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.253844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed Team WE23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010624.5%26 W · 80 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.