TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Team WE53c73,904$38,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,811.4712161.2%74 W · 47 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas47c42,086$19,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,305.7455955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas48c14,367$6,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,506.421,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas46c13,154$6,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,053.0811454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team WE24c10,902$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.512,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Ninjas in Pyjamas49c6,605$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.161,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Ninjas in Pyjamas47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c4,989$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.9827432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Team WE51c4,933$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.1420354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…50bcbacked Team WE1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.441612.5%2 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE50c3,569$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Team WE23c3,547$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.791,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb404…f61bbacked Team WE26c3,429$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.043844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed Team WE3c3,243$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2928350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team WE45c2,818$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.31,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Team WE51c2,299$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16476955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Team WE10c2,256$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2425038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c2,201$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.0625236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.9127447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Team WE47c2,028$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9536331.7%20 W · 43 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Team WE47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94012143%52 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team WE16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team WE48c1,855$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.572,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c1,803$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.041,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c1,700$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Team WE2c1,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c1,584$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.691,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Team WE3c1,300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Ninjas in Pyjamas42c1,233$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.957448.6%36 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas54c1,185$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.8810445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Team WE17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c1,046$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7422654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed Team WE20c1,000$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.195240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c915$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2553640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed Team WE47c908.38$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.944729.8%14 W · 33 L-8.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c877.87$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.081,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team WE49c830$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.72,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c777$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.961,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…5df8backed Team WE51c746.08$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Team WE48c612.34$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7211054.5%60 W · 50 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c610$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.811750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team WE46c596.78$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9934742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team WE47c573.35$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8850643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Team WE54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011750.4%59 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c537.98$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.341,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Ninjas in Pyjamas45c524.53$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c481.53$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7625639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas46c453.37$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.882,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Team WE53c450$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Team WE48c423.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5126645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team WE36c411.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.412,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Team WE12c410.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9686758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20048852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Team WE47c399.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18896057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c399.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9968443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e66…8ca1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas31c370$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.312254.9%67 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e86…2db2backed Team WE14c358.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024629.7%73 W · 173 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39e2…0064backed Ninjas in Pyjamas44c347.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.245632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team WE46c341.04$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8823439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Team WE47c340.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c340$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas61c329.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.714751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Ninjas in Pyjamas61c329.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0330155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team WE44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.571,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15095951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505038%19 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15050547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team WE45c288$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.331439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c280$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.871249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team WE47c256$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0770443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas44c247.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.611,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas76c247.36$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.373455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Team WE59c240.68$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Team WE12c240$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.728923.5%68 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas43c233.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3516451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas45c223.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4925942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3af…aca1backed Team WE51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012948.8%63 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Team WE47c212.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Team WE51c209.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10756432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Team WE48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035516.3%58 W · 297 L-25.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe1…c364backed Team WE48c204.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9517838.8%69 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0de…4949backed Ninjas in Pyjamas64c200.04$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.021936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10030050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Team WE5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10598.5%5 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Team WE59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11815829.1%46 W · 112 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c196.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6722646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Team WE51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Team WE53c187.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Team WE33c186.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.781,72629.4%507 W · 1,219 L-124.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0300…88aebacked Team WE50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46de…9062backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…e946backed Team WE51c176.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.448647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c172$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Team WE59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009051.1%46 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb60c…72f6backed Team WE17c163.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team WE46c153$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1445344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.