Middle East · resolved market
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5defa7fa82e9f99ee9f2d107eecf51423d586ab31794b0ee49995501237e8d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 73c | 16,909$12,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.88 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…57cebacked No | 2c | 15,462$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 10c | 6,987$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…142bbacked No | 1c | 3,495$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 51c | 3,287$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778b…1a27backed No | 1c | 3,137$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked No | 3c | 3,088$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…51afbacked No | 18c | 2,614$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…dc46backed No | 1c | 2,311$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…085bbacked No | 1c | 2,251$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…5641backed No | 1c | 2,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…3279backed No | 0c | 2,151$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a2…dabcbacked No | 5c | 2,138$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 75c | 2,135$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,960$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 68c | 1,800$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.12 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 57c | 1,758$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…9d7ebacked No | 1c | 1,688$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…ccd9backed Yes | 43c | 1,571$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…eba3backed No | 67c | 1,272$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…8b16backed Yes | 73c | 1,214$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 29c | 1,210$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.89 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 1,109$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 2c | 1,091$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 2c | 999.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed No | 7c | 873.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 62c | 740.28$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de0…d9b5backed No | 6c | 735.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…5c54backed No | 1c | 726.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 5c | 714.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 143 | 0.7%1 W · 142 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 2c | 699.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 69c | 698.93$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 26c | 660.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…7848backed Yes | 19c | 629.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.53 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 611.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…7d96backed No | 32c | 555.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…616bbacked No | 5c | 543.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…fe51backed Yes | 73c | 525.18$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…8aaabacked Yes | 32c | 516.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.72 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 512.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11b…353fbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 29c | 494.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 66c | 470.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…746ebacked No | 6c | 468.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 54c | 460.9$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…4575backed No | 7c | 431.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 64c | 427.87$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 76c | 420.39$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 58c | 406.79$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 67c | 400.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…4ec0backed Yes | 74c | 378.38$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…b528backed No | 25c | 370.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 31c | 370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…0435backed No | 56c | 363.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…b5e9backed No | 8c | 337.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 336.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…72f6backed No | 61c | 335$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…f8e2backed No | 4c | 333.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…2404backed No | 6c | 328.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 31c | 322.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…90dcbacked No | 7c | 305.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed No | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked Yes | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 13c | 297.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…e268backed No | 34c | 295.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 14c | 293.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ee25backed Yes | 36c | 280$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…6955backed No | 69c | 277.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…eddcbacked No | 28c | 273.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 70c | 265.91$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…fc0dbacked Yes | 39c | 257.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 7c | 244.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…8edebacked No | 64c | 242$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 39c | 234$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…edbdbacked No | 9c | 223.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Yes | 60c | 222.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 57c | 208.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…8a5cbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed No | 18c | 198.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 193.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 59c | 189.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…1175backed Yes | 42c | 185.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…a0e6backed No | 41c | 184.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 36c | 184.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 11c | 179.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…492dbacked No | 10c | 177.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…f3c7backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 149.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…c2efbacked No | 10c | 146.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e6…1511backed Yes | 35c | 145$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…e528backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…86a3backed No | 7c | 139.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…a6e4backed No | 54c | 131.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 16c | 128.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.