TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69fd…b2f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.7
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+399.7%+$174.44
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.78
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.9
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$50.6
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.19
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick22cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.49
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+214.9%+$855.17
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.12
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$313.19
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.89
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$64.8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of April 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+129.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$883.41
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$49.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.27
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.