Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2541de777fa76a0ea1e26add37bba30038d66c6fbe06bdb0831271f1d0656a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 42c | 3,764$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 44c | 2,144$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.53 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 58c | 1,707$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.9 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7cccbacked Over | 56c | 1,473$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 45c | 1,362$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Over | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Over | 53c | 1,142$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.06 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 58c | 693.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.34 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…a7fabacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 41c | 330.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed Over | 59c | 316.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 302.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 289.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 45c | 245.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 58c | 200.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 45c | 192.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…f50bbacked Over | 53c | 188.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…dcfcbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 58c | 178.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 168.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 107.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…f117backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 50c | 84.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 73.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…6d50backed Over | 54c | 53.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 52.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…9db2backed Under | 44c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 49c | 38.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43c…08a7backed Over | 50c | 37.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Over | 54c | 34.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 45c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 300 | 60%180 W · 120 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 54c | 28.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 49c | 23.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.