Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 8.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7880db15de488d52535ed4921699282d5e0be88aa8b682252e2fa846f8f451c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 49c | 3,200$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 51c | 2,501$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.07 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 45c | 1,016$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.29 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 53c | 953.49$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.49 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Over | 55c | 749.73$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.35 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Under | 51c | 726.69$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.88 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 52c | 725.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 54c | 481.46$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Over | 51c | 439.43$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 47c | 426.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 45c | 388.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 51c | 382.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Under | 53c | 345.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 280.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 47c | 222.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Under | 51c | 187.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 52c | 167.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…cd3ebacked Over | 46c | 150.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Under | 59c | 127.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 41c | 116.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Over | 51c | 95.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…3854backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Under | 48c | 66.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…f10dbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 51c | 59.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…fbb3backed Under | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…ccdcbacked Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 49c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…cc7bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 8.5 Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.