Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39cd2f2c0d934417b7488b065f3ba9fa571e30e5a992c356bdaeef298839820f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Under | 67c | 519.5$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…31b2backed Over | 39c | 394.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86a…89c7backed Under | 66c | 359.38$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Under | 61c | 350$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 343.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 45c | 291.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 41c | 234.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 63c | 162.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 37c | 137.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Under | 67c | 136.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…98fabacked Over | 36c | 132.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 119.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Over | 41c | 119.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 119.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 44c | 116.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…524cbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 41.1%106 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…55f2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 30c | 48.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Over | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 36c | 39.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 62c | 38.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Over | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…c806backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 63c | 28.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…082fbacked Over | 40c | 27.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…4d47backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 21.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 20.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.