Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd951d798f9039151c19c830d00fcd756c880692a46a9959071908e629d0fd02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 2,456$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.17 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 27c | 1,818$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.86 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 24c | 1,060$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 999.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 75c | 825.62$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 29c | 753.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 71c | 726.07$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Under | 76c | 658.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 76c | 539.1$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…8109backed Under | 75c | 279.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Over | 27c | 259.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 243.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 206.47$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…cfa8backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +13.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…31b2backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9568…1d03backed Under | 75c | 186.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 185.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 128.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 121.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…3119backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Over | 27c | 99.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…6a42backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…c806backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…ab39backed Under | 76c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…c058backed Under | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 75c | 25.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…1945backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…460abacked Under | 74c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 61c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Under | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…1177backed Under | 75c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.