Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50bf9314056f8c5c721cfcd7e9068eadc5c3320b0699a0b80e75094249fe0d62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,554$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 798.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 28c | 782.52$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 10c | 493.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 385.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 23c | 314.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 30c | 314.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 76c | 292.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 27c | 256.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 211.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 26c | 186.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 24c | 175.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 71c | 170.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 167.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 21c | 149.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 10c | 146.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 135.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 9c | 127.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 75c | 126.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 23c | 126.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 30c | 121$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 113.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…446cbacked Yes | 21c | 108.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 25c | 98.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed Yes | 20c | 98.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 79c | 97.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 18c | 91.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 91.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 17c | 88.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 79c | 82.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 22c | 80.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 35c | 80.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 20c | 79.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 33c | 71.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 71.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 70.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 77c | 63.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 79c | 62.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 21c | 61.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 76c | 60.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…e81ebacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 152 | 75.7%115 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…c0f2backed Yes | 23c | 59.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 167 | 9%15 W · 152 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…1b2bbacked No | 79c | 59.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed Yes | 18c | 58.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 26c | 57.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 19c | 54.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 75c | 53.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 24c | 51.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…549bbacked Yes | 35c | 50.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fde…cc92backed No | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…636abacked Yes | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 49.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 35c | 48.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…7efcbacked No | 77c | 45.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 78c | 42.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 30c | 41.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 28c | 41.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 71c | 41.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed No | 76c | 40.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 39.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 73c | 39.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 37.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed No | 80c | 34.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 72c | 34.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 71c | 33.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 64c | 33.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 74c | 29.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 68c | 28.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…fc8ebacked No | 78c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 75c | 22.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 69c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 70c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 74c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…784ebacked No | 79c | 20.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 77c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 72c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 78c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 75c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed No | 75c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 77c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 71c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd9…ad53backed No | 76c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 77c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 270 | 50.4%136 W · 134 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 78c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…f13abacked No | 72c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on April 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.